-Rules out the possibility of any Anglophone occupying the post.
-See an Anglophone President in Cameroon as handing the country to Great
Britain and America.
A news
report by Michel Michaut of Aurore Plus newspaper on August 18, 2009 has
revealed that Mr Biya, President of Cameroun, has been imposed the task of
re-introducing the post of Vice President in Cameroun by his French
counterpart, Mr Nicholas Sarkozy. The curious thing about it is that the news
report also reveals that the French would not, for any reason want to see an
Anglophone in that position, for this would mean handing Cameroon to Great
Britain and America.
This
imposition that was put to Biya during his recent visit also imposes that the
Vice President should have right of succession in case for any reason the
Etoudi tenant is forced to leave power.
The most
difficult part of it, the report comments, would not even be a change of
constitution but to find a competent Anglophone or Northerner to occupy this
post. Irked by what happened in Ivory Coast in 1993 when Félix Houphouët Boigny
died, in Togo after the sudden death of Etienne Eyadema Gnassingbe where his
son, Faure, took over power through what only resembled elections in April 2005
and worried about what is presently going on in Gabon after the August 30
Presidential elections where it is alleged Ali Ben Bongo Ondimba has succeeded
his father El Hadj Omar Bongo Ondimba who died on June 8, 2009 after 42 years
of absolute rule; the French Rightists and their corollaries deep in business
want a smooth democratic transition in Cameroun only to preserve their personal
interests.
The report
further says Paul Biya accepted the proposal made by the French President
though with some deep reservations. How is he going to change the constitution
to re-introduce this post of Vice President that had already existed during the
Federal State and that had been occupied by John Ngu Foncha? It would be
probably through the National Assembly or by Referendum.
It will
surely not be by referendum just to avoid the syndrome from Niger where the
President Mamadou Tanja is leading the people straight towards a stone wall.
The other argument will be that a referendum will be too expensive.
Consequently
it would not be unexpected that in the days ahead the august chamber (National
Assembly) will have to sleep over the matter. The majority CPDM will surely
vote for this modification. But several questions will arise that will make
concordance very difficult even among the CPDM members: the status of the Vice
President, will the post of Prime Minister be scrapped or will remain; but the
greatest will be the origin of the President Biya’s anticipated Vice President:
would he be running mate of the President for the anticipated Presidential
elections coming up in 2010; or would the elected President appoint his Vice?
Inconsistency
Paul Biya,
well-groomed in Law and Political Science, has already started perusing the old
constitutions of Cameroon, especially the Federal Constitution that governed
the Federal States of West and East Cameroons from 1961 to 1972, on which date
Ahidjo made Cameroon a unitary state on his own volition.
Biya has or
will also consult Cameroonian Constitutional Law experts. He will consult, as he
has done in the past, French experts in this domain. It will be recalled that
to make the incomplete 1996 Constitution the Head of State had to make recourse
to France. Certain problems could arise in the course of this revision like
what form the State will take. From 1961 to 1972 the State was a Federal one
and was well-suited for a Vice President: Ahmadou Ahidjo was a Francophone and
automatically the post of Vice President went to an Anglophone. Today, Cameroon
is a decentralized unitary State.
Will this
same form of a State be conserved with the re-institution of a Vice President?
What will be the powers of the Vice President? Shall we function like in the
American system where the Vice President is only a ceremonial post with no
powers, as all the executive powers are vested with the President though all of
them were elected under the same ticket? Would the post of Prime Minister and
Head of Government remain as it is in the present, or would it be given another
content or be simply abrogated? Or would it take Mugabe’s Zimbabwe form where
there is a President of the Republic, Vice Presidents and a Prime Minster.
These and more are the tasks that will be facing the constitutionalists who
will draw up the project to deposit on the table of the parliament. This is a
lot of prospective work for Joseph Owona, Augustin Kontchou Kouomegne, Maurice
Kamto, Pierre Moukoko Mbonjo, Bipoum Woum and many other CPDM personalities.
Operational
Difficulties
The big
question is: who will be Paul Biya’s Vice President or running mate in the
CPDM? In neighbouring Nigeria it was made very simple: if a Northerner, for
example is the Presidential Candidate his running mate must be a Southerner and
vice versa. Thus in the 1999 and 2003 Presidential elections the PDP (People’s
Democratic Party) of Nigeria presented Olusegun Obassanjo, a Christian Yuroba
from the South West of Nigeria and Aboubakar Attiku, a Moslem from the North of
the Federation of Nigeria to be his running mate and Vice President. Similarly
the PDP presented the present President of Nigeria, Umaru Mussa Yar’Adua during
the April 2007 elections as President and an Ibo man from the South East as his
running mate.
Is this
well-organised scheme in our great neighbour also possible with us? That is
where we are cornered. If we go by the North-South Nigerian example which was
instituted by France and Ahmadou Ahidjo, Paul Biya would naturally choose a
Northerner for a running mate. This is a very difficult choice given the actual
sociopolitical context caused by the fight for positions, mean and tribal
calculations not forgetting the failed coup d’etat of April 6, 1984 against
Paul Biya orchestrated by the Northerners. Above all the Anglophones have the
greatest right to claim this post of Vice President with their right of
succession status, argues Michel Michaut.
It is a very
delicate situation for Paul Biya, who can, by no means, put a native of the
Fang-Beti cultural origin in this position. Equally excluded from this post are
the Bulus, Ewondos, Etons, and other Manguissas, etc. Others even feel that all
the originals of the Centre, South and East regions should be excluded from
this race, even if these regions are occupied by other ethnic groups other than
Betis like the Bassas, Bafias, Tikars, Baboutés, Banens, Makas, etc. This
problem had already arisen when Biya appointed Emmanuel Rene Sadi as Secretary
General of the CPDM in April 2007. The Betis wanted the post for the likes of
Gregoire Owona, present assistant Secretary General and erstwhile Minister
Delegate at the Presidency in Charge of Relations with the National Assembly.
Many other
ethnic groupings or regions were eyeing the post but Biya took René Sadi, a
Babouté from the Mbam et Kim Division in the Centre Region whose lineage also
extends to the Adamawa Region where they come from and also from the East
Region of the country. Could Biya also use the logic he used on René Sadi that
he comes from three parts of the country to make him Vice President knowing he
could attract many votes from the Adamawa Region, more inclined to vote Bello
Bouba Maigari’s UNDP, leader of the opposition party allied to the CPDM and
also Minister of State in charge of Transport in the present government.
Calculations
of underlying politicians
If the post
of Vice President is created, the Northerners would make their voices heard.
For some nostalgic proponents of the North-South axis of northern origin, this
would have actually been the situation given that that their defender or flag
bearer is considered the constitutional successor of Biya. This is just like
this same Biya was, from 1975 to 1982 Prime Minister, according to the
constitution of the time the constitutional successor to President Ahmadou
Ahidjo.
The
contenders are many in the Grand North. They include: Ahmadou Ali, Cavaye
Yeguié Djibril, Marafa Hamidou Yaya, etc. One thing should not be forgotten:
Biya, if it comes to nomination, will never appoint a Peulh Moslem or anyone
from the Benoue Division (Ahidjo’s Division of origin with Marafa), but rather
from the Extreme North who is not Peulh and not a Christian. The choice could
therefore be Ayang Luc, a Toupouri Christian from the Extreme North, the
present President of the Economic and Social Council for more than 20 years and
who had been Biya’s Prime Minister in the 80s. This would be in consideration
to the crushing weight of the Peulh population of this part of our country. How
will the Parliamentarians of the Extreme North behave in such a Parliamentary
Session? It is difficult to tell now, but suffice it to say that the debates
will be stormy in any such Parliamentary session when it shall come within the
ranks of the CPDM and from members of all the regions without regard to tribe.
The Anglophones
of the country will not be left out in this fierce debate, they who rightly
claim it is their right to occupy the Etoudi Palace after the lengthy reigns of
the Grand North with Ahidjo (1960 – 1982) and Biya from the Grand South from
1982 to present day, abut 27 years. Would their voices be heard? Yes, they
would, if it were only Paul Biya, but his French mentors who suggested this
modification would not take it kindly, for they would never trust any
Anglophone at the helm of affairs in Cameroon especially through a smooth
democratic transition. This would mean to them auctioning Cameroon to Great
Britain and the United States of America. To avoid returning power to the North
Biya would have loved to hand over power to an Anglophone one day, but for the
French obstacle.
Finally,
Biya who would not, at any cost, want to return power to the Grand North may
turn his eyes to the Sawa Community. Effectively many Cameroonians would not
look at a pure breed Douala at the helm of State affairs with a bad eye. Nor
would they mind a Yabassi, an Abo, a Pongo, a Mbo, a Bakoko occupy the post of
Vice President and later President of the Republic. A Duala Head of State will
calm the Anglophones of Southwest origin for a good section of the inhabitants
of this part of the country have the same cultural heritage like the Dualas.
Wait and see.
By Nke
Valentine (with
translation from Michel Michaut’s report from Aurore Plus newspaper). October
2009 – The Vanguard Cameroon)
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